Free Will (Within a Cone of Error)

I think will go with... I'll try both.

To believe that everything is predetermined is to believe that the future is predictable, precisely. Even every single little speck of dust. Each particle's every future movement. Every bit of every future thermodynamic swirl. Every last future zig-zag and Brownian like motion.

All precisely predictable. Because to believe that everything is predetermined is to believe that all future movements were already written. Determined 13.8 billion years ago at the Big Bang.

Predetermination claims that there is zero randomness in the universe. That. Given a strong enough quantum computer. And given that we were able to capture all the necessary data inputs. That given these two things. A weather forecast would be able to predict that a chunk of hail will break your car’s windshield while parked at the mall eleven years from now on July 3rd at 1:27 PM.

No.

Maybe. Again given the strong enough computer and all the needed data inputs, maybe. Given these two things, yes maybe. I can see the possibility of successfully predicting an overall hail storm, and perhaps eleven years out. But only within I don't know maybe a 7-day margin of error. And within perhaps at best a 100-mile radius would be my generous guess.

We have free will. Not just subjectively. Objectively. Albeit limited. Within a cone of error.

It can never be predicted that a chunk of hail is going to break your car’s windshield while parked at the mall eleven years from now on July 3rd at 1:27 PM. Because the script ain't written yet. This level of precision surrounding a prediction is a necessary wait and see.

This is why pi's 3.14 has no decimal-ending. Maybe the universe itself. And this is assuming that it has the closest thing to a possibly perfect hand. Maybe the universe itself could draw a perfect circle. But just one. Because the universe would never be able to trace, perfectly, over it again.

Even if off by just .0000...0001. Which means off by just the most invisibly small percentage. The universe will never make a perfect copy. Because no matter how steady the hand, everything necessarily remains in motion. So no matter how nearly perfect. The trace of the first circle will always be necessarily off. By at least the tiniest possible toggle.

And said toggle is the random action. Free Will. Within a cone of error. Within direct reach of your local causal-chain network. Zig. Zag. Brownian Motion. This is why all orbital paths are elliptical. And 3.14 has no end.

Like a cruise. Let's say. Across the Atlantic. From NYC to London. Within the predefined constraints of the voyage, we are free to move about the vessel.